Playoffs might be a long shot for the Lakers
It might be time to panic in Los Angeles -– well, at least for Lakers fans.
The Lakers now have lost six straight games, their longest losing streak since March 2007. They’re within striking distance of their franchise-record 10-game losing streak in April 1994.
It’s now very realistic that the Lakers might not make the playoffs.
Started 15-21 or Worse Through 36 Games
Lakers’ Past 50 Seasons
Start Finish Playoffs
’12-13 15-21 ? ?
’93-94 11-25 33-49 None
’74-75 15-21 30-52 None
’66-67 13-23 36-45 L, Div. Semis
This is the 10th time in franchise history the Lakers have started 15-21 or worse through 36 games. Of the previous nine times, they never finished .500 or better. The last time they started 15-21 or worse and made the playoffs was 1966-67.
In the past five seasons, the worst win percentage for a Western Conference playoff team was .545 last season by the Dallas Mavericks and Utah Jazz. In an 82-game season, that would be 45 wins.
In order for the Lakers to reach 45 wins, they would need to finish with a 30-16 record.
How realistic is that? Only two teams have ever finished a season with at least 45 wins after starting 15-21 or worse, according to the Elias Sports Bureau — the 2004-05 Denver Nuggets and 2009-10 Milwaukee Bucks.
What’s wrong with the Lakers?
Since Mike D’Antoni took over on Nov. 20, the Lakers have been the sixth-worst team in terms of defensive efficiency.
This has much to do with playing at the second-highest pace under D’Antoni.
They were the eighth-best defensive team in their first 10 games of the season while playing at the ninth-highest pace.
The Lakers have had trouble defending opposing teams’ best players. During their six-game losing streak, the Lakers have allowed star players to score well above their season scoring averages:
• 76ers: Jrue Holiday scored 26 (averages 18.3 points per game)
• Clippers: Chris Paul scored 30 (averages 17.0 ppg)
• Nuggets: Ty Lawson scored 21 (averages 14.1 ppg)
• Rockets: James Harden scored 31 (averages 26.5 ppg)
• Spurs: Tony Parker scored 24 (averages 19.2 ppg)
• Thunder: Kevin Durant scored 42 (averages 28.1 ppg)
Injuries don’t help the situation. But turning the Lakers’ season around likely will have to start with much-improved defense.
Improving on the defensive end and winning more games could be much easier if the Lakers can slow down their pace.
The Lakers have had a pace of 100 or more possessions in each of their past four games -– all losses, of course. The Lakers now have a 7-16 record this season in games with a pace of at least 96 possessions, but they’re 8-5 when the pace is 95 or slower.
By Ryan Feldman
ESPN Stats & Information